Author Topic: Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread  (Read 32418 times)

Offline quadz

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Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
« on: March 10, 2020, 11:32:57 AM »
[Just wanted a place for posts so they don't get lost in the general Politics thread]


Map: Global Cases by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins University:

https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6


Stats & News aggregator:

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/


Once containment fails, the strategy changes to mitigation. A goal of mitigation is to delay the spread to a rate that does not overwhelm the capacity of the healthcare system:



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Offline quadz

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Re: Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
« Reply #1 on: March 10, 2020, 11:36:41 AM »
An attempt to infer the infection transmission rate from the death rate. Rate of spread (limited by ongoing mitigation attempts in varying countries) looks greater than linear, but less than expoential:



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Offline quadz

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Re: Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
« Reply #2 on: March 10, 2020, 11:41:49 AM »
Interesting data from South Korea. They have put massive effort into testing, with over 140,000 citizens tested so far.


https://twitter.com/YossiGestetner/status/1237374366888927233



South Korea's aggressive and preemptive approach to testing, is presumably key to their being able to successfully limit community spread.

The United States is almost certainly going to fare far worse, for not enacting a similar testing regime.

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Offline haunted

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Re: Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
« Reply #3 on: March 10, 2020, 02:15:53 PM »
North Carolina is about to have a large outbreak I think. Yesterday 5 more cases were confirmed. They all attended the BioGen conference that initiated the outbreak in Boston. Somehow, these 5 people fell off the radar (apparently only 30 people attended the conference?) And have been interacting with everyone all Willy nilly in contrast to Boston where there was actually damage control. The governor declared a state of emergency today, mainly for federal funding, but no one is reporting on it at all. I'm just reading between the lines, but it appears to be a major failure in oversight.
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Offline Sgt. Dick

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Re: Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
« Reply #4 on: March 10, 2020, 07:04:38 PM »
[Just wanted a place for posts so they don't get lost in the general Politics thread]

 :yessign: Good Move
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Offline Sgt. Dick

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Offline haunted

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Re: Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
« Reply #6 on: March 11, 2020, 07:58:06 PM »
So did the ACC, ncaab, pretty much everything. I'm glad I stocked up on crap before the "real" panic. I think I'm about to put an order in with butcher box.
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Offline |iR|Focalor

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Re: Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
« Reply #7 on: March 11, 2020, 08:55:34 PM »
Us bikers ain't selling meth anymore. We've switched to selling Charmin.

I GOT THE FLUFFY STUFF! ALL THE BITCHES KNOW MY NAME!
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Offline quadz

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Re: Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
« Reply #8 on: March 11, 2020, 09:42:49 PM »
Some interesting graphs here:

https://informationisbeautiful.net/visualizations/covid-19-coronavirus-infographic-datapack/


e.g. comparison to other virii in fatality rate and transmission rate:




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Offline quadz

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Re: Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
« Reply #9 on: March 11, 2020, 10:36:40 PM »
Well, this is a rather sobering breakdown of the issues. (Includes a few bits I hadn't heard before, such as high numbers of serious cases in the "40-something" age range.)


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cZFhjMQrVts
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Offline |iR|Focalor

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Re: Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
« Reply #10 on: March 11, 2020, 11:10:14 PM »
Well, this is a rather sobering breakdown of the issues. (Includes a few bits I hadn't heard before, such as high numbers of serious cases in the "40-something" age range.)

OF COURSE. I'm fixing to turn 40. God loves my not-having-health-insurance ass. Happy happy joy joy.



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Offline quadz

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Re: Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
« Reply #11 on: March 12, 2020, 12:04:10 AM »
Analyzing the rate of spread, and making the case to begin social isolation ASAP:


https://twitter.com/sapinker/status/1237761514989289472


A couple charts from the article:






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Offline Sgt. Dick

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Re: Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
« Reply #12 on: March 12, 2020, 03:01:15 AM »
We had a bottle of hand sanitizer in the front office and yesterday someone took it  :dohdohdoh: :LAME:
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Offline QuakeDuke

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Re: Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
« Reply #13 on: March 12, 2020, 08:08:07 AM »
Analyzing the rate of spread, and making the case to begin social isolation ASAP:

https://twitter.com/sapinker/status/1237761514989289472

Wife and I survived a lot of crap as kids (before a lot of common vaccines) - both experienced quarantine for German measles  for instance - and a couple other things people don't think much of anymore. Figure we either will or won't survive this comes our way...BUT...There IS a reason I live on a hill....
QD
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-- There's a reason I live on a hill.....

Offline haunted

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Re: Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
« Reply #14 on: March 12, 2020, 08:32:40 AM »
My 4 year old has a bad sore throat and cough. He's already had the flu this year. IF it's Corona we all have it. He was all over me last night trying to wrestle me.

 :mrdead:
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